Kyshawn George
ATL @ WSH · LiveGame log against Under 4.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 4.5 Rebounds hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0.9–7.6 rebounds.
What's different yesterday
Under 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 4.5 without him: 12 of 24; with him: 15 of 31 (55 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 4.5 without him: 14 of 27; with him: 13 of 25 (52 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 20.8 rebounds a game to forwards: 10th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 28.9 (48 games)
Splits
Under 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 4.5 · L10Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ATL
George didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; rebounds the last time George faced them: 2 (Feb 24)
Under 4.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against ATL on record
L10 · Under 4.5
- Average
- 3.6
- −0.9 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −130
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1191 book | — | 1/10 | |
| −6252 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −2502 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1243 books | −1302 books | 8/10 | |
| +1492 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +2652 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +4502 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings24 hr ago | −124 | −106Best |
| Pinnacle24 hr ago | −102Best | −130 |
| Bally Bet24 hr ago | −124 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5Under: +110 → −130 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.


