Kyshawn George

Washington Wizards · F · #18

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Under 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1457 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 4.5 Rebounds hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs TOR, 2026-02-28: 3, hit, 15 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-02: 1, hit, 22 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 5, missed, 29 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 3, hit, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 9, missed, 36 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 4, hit, 29 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 38 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 3, hit, 32 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 4, hit, 37 min
vs ATL, 2026-11-04: 4, hit, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.7–7.3 rebounds.

What's different today

Under 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 4.5 without him: 13 of 25; with him: 15 of 31 (56 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 4.5 without him: 15 of 28; with him: 13 of 25 (53 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 20.8 rebounds a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.2 min · 2026–27: 32.8 (8 games)

Splits

Under 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 4.5 · L10

Anthony DavisFDay-To-Day
Trae YoungG
AJ DybantsaF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Rebounds: 4 in 35 min, Nov 4 (home)

Under 4.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against ATL on record

L10 · Under 4.5

Average: 3.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 3.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −145
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −159, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14304 books	—	1/10
−4205 books	—	2/10
−1836 books	+1401 book	5/10
+1107 books	−1456 books	8/10
+2106 books	−2901 book	9/10
+3705 books	—	9/10
+6005 books	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel5 min ago	+104	−132Best
Pinnacle8 min ago	+106	−140
DraftKings8 min ago	+109	−144
Bovada7 min ago	+110	−145
betPARX5 min ago	+114Best	−155
BetRivers5 min ago	+114Best	−155
Bally Bet7 min ago	+114Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:43 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Under: −139 → −145 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kyshawn George's full game log and splits