Kyshawn George
WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Under 4.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 4.5 Rebounds hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.7–7.3 rebounds.
What's different today
Under 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 4.5 without him: 13 of 25; with him: 15 of 31 (56 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 4.5 without him: 15 of 28; with him: 13 of 25 (53 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 20.8 rebounds a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.2 min · 2026–27: 32.8 (8 games)
Splits
Under 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 4.5 · L10Anthony DavisFDay-To-Day
Trae YoungG
AJ DybantsaF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ATL
Rebounds: 4 in 35 min, Nov 4 (home)
Under 4.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against ATL on record
L10 · Under 4.5
- Average
- 3.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −144
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −158
Research, not a pick. At −137 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −158, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16674 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −4805 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2006 books | +1351 book | 5/10 | |
| +1067 books | −1446 books | 8/10 | |
| +1885 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +3305 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +5505 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX1 min ago | +102 | −137Best |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +102 | −137Best |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | +106 | −140 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +108 | −144 |
| DraftKings2 min ago | +113 | −149 |
| Bovada2 min ago | +115Best | −150 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +102 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5Under: −139 → −144 since first seen


