Kyshawn George

Washington Wizards · F · #18

ATL @ WSH · Live

Over Under4.5

Under 4.5 Assists, typical price −1773 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 4.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).

at ATL, 2026-02-24: 2, hit, 21 min
vs TOR, 2026-02-28: 1, hit, 15 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-02: 2, hit, 22 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 29 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 3, hit, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 5, missed, 36 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 2, hit, 29 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 11, missed, 38 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 3, hit, 32 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 37 min

Under hitMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 2–7 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 4.5 without him: 11 of 24; with him: 18 of 31 (55 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 4.5 without him: 13 of 27; with him: 14 of 25 (52 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 8.1 assists a game to forwards: 16th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 28.9 (48 games)

Splits

Under 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 4.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

George didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; assists the last time George faced them: 2 (Feb 24)

Under 4.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against ATL on record

L10 · Under 4.5

Average: 3.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 3; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −177
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −172

Research, not a pick. At −177 the price is worse than our fair −172, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16671 book	—	1/10
−4352 books	—	4/10
−1772 books	+1171 book	7/10
+1313 books	−1771 book	7/10
+2352 books	—	9/10
+4302 books	—	9/10
+7002 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Pinnacle17 hr ago	+132Best	−177Best
Bally Bet17 hr ago	+118	—
DraftKings17 hr ago	+131	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

−180 → −177 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kyshawn George's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.