Kyshawn George

Washington Wizards · F · #18

ATL @ WSH · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1482 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 15 of 24; with him: 18 of 31 (55 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 14 of 27; with him: 17 of 25 (52 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 4.8 threes made a game to forwards: 14th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 28.9 (48 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at ATL, 2026-02-24: 1, missed, 21 min
vs TOR, 2026-02-28: 3, cleared, 15 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-02: 3, cleared, 22 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 29 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 36 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 2, cleared, 29 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 38 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 32 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 37 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

George didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time George faced them: 1 (Feb 24)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −148
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6802 books	—	8/10
−1482 books	+1122 books	5/10
+2042 books	—	4/10
+5092 books	—	2/10
+12332 books	—	0/10
+21001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−145Best	+110
FanDuel1 min ago	−152	+114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −154 → −148 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kyshawn George's full game log and splits