Kyshawn George
ATL @ WSH · Tomorrow 7:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 15 of 24; with him: 18 of 31 (55 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 14 of 27; with him: 17 of 25 (52 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 4.8 threes made a game to forwards: 14th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 28.9 (48 games)
Game log against Over 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ATL
George didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time George faced them: 1 (Feb 24)
Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against ATL on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −148
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6912 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1482 books | +1122 books | 5/10 | |
| +2052 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +5112 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +12462 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +22001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings13 min ago | −145Best | +110 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −152 | +114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over −154 → −148 since first seen


