Kingston Flemings
WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 15.5
63%5 of 8L8
Under 15.5 Pts+Ast hit in 5 of his last 8 games (2 of 3 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.3–24.9 pts+ast.
What's different today
Under 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jalen Johnson: Out (ankle)
Under 15.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 5 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 15.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 5 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 22 min · 2026–27: 20.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at WSH
Splits
Under 15.5 · L8 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 15.5 · L8Jalen JohnsonFOut
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs WSH
Pts+Ast: 18 in 23 min, Nov 4 (away)
Under 15.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against WSH on record
L8 · Under 15.5
- Average
- 12.5
- −3 vs line
- Median
- 11
- −4.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 63%
- 5 of 8
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 54%
- estimate · fair −118
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −118, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L8| Line | Over | Under | L8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6255 books | — | 4/8 | |
| −1901 book | +1451 book | 5/8 | |
| −1295 books | +1101 book | 5/8 | |
| −1086 books | −1224 books | 5/8 | |
| +2505 books | — | 7/8 | |
| +8502 books | — | 7/8 | |
| +21002 books | — | 8/8 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 15.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 15.5 | Under 15.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Bovada3 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −108 | −122 |
| betPARX1 min ago | +100Best | −136 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +100Best | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +100Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
15.514.5 → 15.5 since first seen