Keyonte George

Utah Jazz · G · #3

UTAH @ NO · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

44%4 of 9L20 · Without Jackson

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 4 of 9 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

at SA, 2026-01-19: 1, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-01-20: 2, cleared, 39 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-01-22: 2, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs MIA, 2026-01-24: 2, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-01-28: 2, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-01-30: 0, missed, 32 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-02-07: 1, cleared, 13 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-02-28: 0, missed, 23 min
vs DEN, 2026-03-02: 4, cleared, 30 min
at PHI, 2026-03-04: 1, cleared, 30 min
at MIL, 2026-03-07: 0, missed, 29 min
vs GS, 2026-03-09: 0, missed, 24 min
vs NY, 2026-03-11: 1, cleared, 20 min
at MEM, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 29 min
at SA, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 9; with him: 4 of 5 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Over 0.5 without him: 14 of 23; with him: 28 of 38 (61 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
NO allow 5.3 steals a game to guards: 12th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.8 min · 2025–26: 33.1 (54 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Ace BaileyG
Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

Steals: 1 in 32 min, Oct 23 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 44%; 4 of 9
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −203 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −155, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2052 books	pick'em only	4/9
+2252 books	—	1/9
+7501 book	—	1/9
+19401 book	—	1/9

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings22 hr ago	−203Best	—
Bally Bet22 hr ago	−205	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −203 → −205 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Keyonte George's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.