Keyonte George

Utah Jazz · G · #3

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1552 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jaren Jackson Jr. playing; Jackson is out tonight. Without him: Under 2.5 in 6 of 9.

TonightTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 3 of 5 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Under 2.5 without him: 13 of 23; with him: 21 of 38 (61 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
NO allow 6.3 threes made a game to guards: 27th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.8 min · 2025–26: 33.1 (54 games)

67%6 of 9L20 · Without Jackson

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of 9 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

at SA, 2026-01-19: 4, missed, 34 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-01-20: 6, missed, 39 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-01-22: 4, missed, 35 min (not counted)
vs MIA, 2026-01-24: 0, hit, 36 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-01-28: 3, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-01-30: 1, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-02-07: 0, hit, 13 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-02-28: 1, hit, 23 min
vs DEN, 2026-03-02: 4, missed, 30 min
at PHI, 2026-03-04: 5, missed, 30 min
at MIL, 2026-03-07: 2, hit, 29 min
vs GS, 2026-03-09: 1, hit, 24 min
vs NY, 2026-03-11: 1, hit, 20 min
at MEM, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 29 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 2, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 29 min
at SA, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 22 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Ace BaileyG
Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

3-Pointers Made: 3 in 32 min, Oct 23 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Under 2.5

Average: 2.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 6 of 9
Price implies: 61%; at −155
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −153 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −145, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Jackson

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−13472 books	—	1/9
−2492 books	—	5/9
+1172 books	−1552 books	6/9
+2992 books	—	6/9
+6692 books	—	7/9
+13802 books	—	9/9
+28512 books	—	9/9

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+116	−153Best
FanDuel5 min ago	+118Best	−158
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:04 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under −158 → −155 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Keyonte George's full game log and splits