Keyonte George
UTAH @ NO · LiveGame log against Under 9.5
100%9 of 9L20 · Without Jackson
Under 9.5 Reb+Ast hit in 9 of 9 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for Wednesday's game: a typical game lands 2.7–13.2 reb+ast.
What's different on Wednesday
Under 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick1 of his last 4 came with Jaren Jackson Jr. playing; Jackson is out on Wednesday. Without him: Under 9.5 in 9 of 9.
WedTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Under 9.5 without him: 9 of 9; with him: 3 of 5 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Under 9.5 without him: 15 of 23; with him: 14 of 38 (61 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.8 min · 2025–26: 33.1 (54 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at SA
Splits
Under 9.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 9.5 · L20Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Ace BaileyG
Jusuf NurkicCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Reb+Ast: 11 in 32 min, Oct 23 (home)
Under 9.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Jackson · Under 9.5
- Average
- 5.8
- −3.7 vs line
- Median
- 6
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 100%
- 9 of 9
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −148
Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −148, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Jackson| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −45002 books | — | 2/9 | |
| −3101 book | — | 9/9 | |
| −1851 book | +1401 book | 9/9 | |
| −1163 books | −1152 books | 9/9 | |
| +1351 book | −1801 book | 9/9 | |
| +2151 book | — | 9/9 | |
| +7003 books | — | 9/9 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings35 hr ago | −116 | −113Best |
| Bovada35 hr ago | −115Best | −115 |
| Bally Bet35 hr ago | −118 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5Under: −112 → −115 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.


