Keyonte George
UTAH @ NO · Today 8:00 PMWhat's different today
Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick1 of his last 4 came with Jaren Jackson Jr. playing; Jackson is out today. Without him: Under 6.5 in 9 of 9.
TodayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Under 6.5 without him: 9 of 9; with him: 3 of 5 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Under 6.5 without him: 16 of 23; with him: 16 of 38 (61 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
NO allow 16.9 assists a game to guards: 6th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.8 min · 2025–26: 33.1 (54 games)
Game log against Under 6.5
100%9 of 9L20 · Without Jackson
Under 6.5 Assists hit in 9 of 9 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–7 assists.
Splits
Under 6.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 6.5 · L20Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Ace BaileyG
Jusuf NurkicCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Assists: 10 in 32 min, Oct 23 (home)
Under 6.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Jackson · Under 6.5
- Average
- 2.9
- −3.6 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 100%
- 9 of 9
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −160
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 67%
- estimate · fair −200
Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −200, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Jackson| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7702 books | — | 5/9 | |
| −3141 book | — | 8/9 | |
| −1562 books | — | 9/9 | |
| +1203 books | −1603 books | 9/9 | |
| +2072 books | — | 9/9 | |
| +3621 book | — | 9/9 | |
| +6002 books | — | 9/9 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 6.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings4 min ago | +117 | −155Best |
| FanDuel3 min ago | +120Best | −160 |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | +120Best | −160 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
6.5−158 → −160 since first seen


