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The line
Over 0.5 Steals
Typical price −1774 sportsbooks
Game log
Over 0.5Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.
Home and away
L10 · Over 0.5Home
100%
4 of 4
Awaytonight
83%
5 of 6
L10 · Over 0.5 Steals
- Average
- 1.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- −177, 4 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −166
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −177 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −166, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −177Best | — |
| betPARX8 min ago | −177Best | +128Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −177Best | — |
| DraftKings12 min ago | −215 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:22 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1774 books | +1281 book | 9/10 | |
| +2504 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +6901 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +18401 book | — | 1/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+2%