Jrue Holiday
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 16.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 7.9–30.3 pts+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 19.9
- +3.4 vs line
- Median
- 20
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12601 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1755 books | +1401 book | 8/10 | |
| −1451 book | +1101 book | 7/10 | |
| −1126 books | −1194 books | 7/10 | |
| +1704 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +4921 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +13601 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada13 hr ago | −110Best | −120 |
| Bally Bet13 hr ago | −112 | — |
| betPARX13 hr ago | −112 | −122 |
| BetRivers13 hr ago | −112 | — |
| FanDuel13 hr ago | −112 | −118 |
| DraftKings13 hr ago | −129 | −102Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.