John Collins

Detroit Pistons · F · #20

PHI @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Rebounds, typical price −1546 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)
Over 5.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 1 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with DET; before that, LAC
Over 5.5 with DET: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 18.8 rebounds a game to forwards: 15th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 24.8 min · 2025–26: 27.1 (69 games)

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Duren

Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

at NO, 2026-03-18: 7, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-03-19: 8, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at DAL, 2026-03-21: 3, missed, 29 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-03-25: 5, missed, 22 min (not counted)
at IND, 2026-03-27: 6, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
at MIL, 2026-03-29: 3, missed, 35 min (not counted)
vs POR, 2026-03-31: 6, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-02: 6, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at SAC, 2026-04-05: 4, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-04-07: 7, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 9, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
at POR, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 9, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 5, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-23: 7, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-10-25: 11, cleared, 34 min
at NY, 2026-10-27: 9, cleared, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 18 min
at BKN, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 26 min
at CHA, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 19 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.6–9.8 rebounds.

Splits

Over 5.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L20

Cade CunninghamG
Jalen DurenCOut
Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Rebounds: 11 in 34 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 5.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Over 5.5

Average: 6.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 9; +3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 61%; at −154
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −137 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duren

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−200002 books	—	4/5
−5605 books	—	3/5
−3302 books	—	3/5
−1546 books	+1043 books	3/5
+1153 books	−1503 books	3/5
+2056 books	−2751 book	3/5
+3241 book	—	3/5

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−137Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	−137Best	+104
BetRivers2 min ago	−141	+102
DraftKings3 min ago	−154	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−154	—
Bovada3 min ago	−160	+120Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

−139 → −154 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

John Collins's full game log and splits