Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers · C · #21

PHI @ DET · Live

Over Under30.5

Over 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at BOS, 2026-05-02: 52, cleared, 39 min
at NY, 2026-05-04: 19, missed, 25 min
vs NY, 2026-05-08: 29, missed, 35 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 33, cleared, 28 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 30, missed, 33 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 32, cleared, 34 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 49, cleared, 36 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 34, cleared, 39 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 24, missed, 33 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 26, missed, 25 min

ClearedMissedThe 30.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 22.4–45.3 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Over 30.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 30.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 31 of 39 (51 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
DET allow 30.1 points + rebounds + assists a game to centers: 10th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.4 min · 2025–26: 31.8 (45 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

Splits

Over 30.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 30.5 cleared in 5 of 5 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 30.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Jaylen BrownG
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Embiid didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Embiid faced them: 36 (Feb 7, 2025)

Over 30.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 30.5

Average: 32.8; +2.3 vs line
Median: 31; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8501 book	—	9/10
−3352 books	—	8/10
−1292 books	−1061 book	6/10
−1252 books	−1061 book	5/10
+1802 books	—	2/10
+3902 books	—	2/10
+8401 book	—	2/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 30.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 30.5	Under 30.5
Bally Bet14 hr ago	−107Best	—
Pinnacle14 hr ago	−125	−106Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

30.5

31.5 → 30.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Joel Embiid's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.