Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers · C · #21

PHI @ DET · Live

Over Under22.5

Over 22.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1041 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 22.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at BOS, 2026-05-02: 40, cleared, 39 min
at NY, 2026-05-04: 15, missed, 25 min
vs NY, 2026-05-08: 23, cleared, 35 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 28, cleared, 28 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 19, missed, 33 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 25, cleared, 34 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 38, cleared, 36 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 23, cleared, 39 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 17, missed, 33 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 18, missed, 25 min

ClearedMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 15.9–36 pts+ast.

What's different yesterday

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 22.5 without him: 8 of 12; with him: 34 of 39 (51 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.4 min · 2025–26: 31.8 (45 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
DET 28th, PHI 15th of 30

Splits

Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 22.5 cleared in 5 of 5 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 22.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Jaylen BrownG
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Embiid didn't play the Oct 25 meeting; pts+ast the last time Embiid faced them: 29 (Feb 7, 2025)

Over 22.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 22.5

Average: 24.6; +2.1 vs line
Median: 23; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −143

Research, not a pick. At −104 the price beats our fair −143, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6101 book	—	10/10
−1952 books	—	6/10
−1211 book	−1091 book	6/10
−1041 book	pick'em only	6/10
+1452 books	—	4/10
+3702 books	—	2/10
+9101 book	—	2/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
Bally Bet18 hr ago	−104Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

−125 → −104 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Joel Embiid's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.