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Jaylin Williams

Oklahoma City Thunder · F · #6

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Assists, typical price +1241 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 2.5 without him: 23 of 59; with him: 11 of 39 (98 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 25 of 85 (98 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Alex Caruso: Out (ankle)

    Over 2.5 without him: 10 of 23; with him: 24 of 75 (98 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    CLE allow 8.7 assists a game to forwards: 12th most of 30

    7 games

Game log against Over 2.5

21%3 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 3 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

  1. at PHX, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 21 min
  2. at PHX, 2026-04-27: 1, missed, 10 min
  3. vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 3, cleared, 20 min
  4. vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 1, missed, 15 min
  5. at LAL, 2026-05-09: 2, missed, 13 min
  6. at LAL, 2026-05-11: 0, missed, 9 min
  7. vs SA, 2026-05-18: 0, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  8. vs SA, 2026-05-20: 2, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  9. at SA, 2026-05-22: 1, missed, 22 min
  10. at SA, 2026-05-24: 1, missed, 23 min
  11. vs SA, 2026-05-26: 1, missed, 17 min
  12. at SA, 2026-05-28: 2, missed, 26 min (not counted)
  13. vs SA, 2026-05-30: 4, cleared, 26 min
  14. at SA, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  15. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 15 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 5 min (not counted)
  17. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 26 min
  18. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 20 min
  19. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 26 min
  20. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 20 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG

  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Ajay MitchellG

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Alex CarusoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Assists: 2 in 20 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 2.5

Average
1.6
−0.9 vs line
Median
1
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
21%
3 of 14
Price implies
45%
at +124
Books’ fair
42%
margin removed
Minutes
19.1
14 games · 19 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−2401 book—5/14
+1241 book−1661 book3/14
+3001 book—1/14
+13001 book—0/14
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
FanDuel4 min ago+124Best−166Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over No move since first seen

Jaylin Williams's full game log and splits