Jaylin Williams

Oklahoma City Thunder · F · #6

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Over 7.5 Points, typical price −1054 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 7.5 without him: 18 of 59; with him: 8 of 39 (98 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 7.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 20 of 85 (98 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Alex Caruso: Out (ankle)
Over 7.5 without him: 6 of 23; with him: 20 of 75 (98 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CLE allow 37.3 points a game to forwards: 27th most of 30
7 games

21%3 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 7.5 Points cleared in 3 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-25: 8, cleared, 21 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 3, missed, 10 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 3, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 7, missed, 15 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 3, missed, 13 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 0, missed, 9 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 0, missed, 10 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 6, missed, 10 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 18, cleared, 22 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 3, missed, 23 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 3, missed, 17 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 4, missed, 26 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 11, cleared, 26 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 5, missed, 17 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 15 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 5 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 6, missed, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 26 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 7.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 7.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Alex CarusoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Points: 3 in 20 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 7.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 7.5

Average: 5.1; −2.4 vs line
Median: 3; −4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 21%; 3 of 14
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Minutes: 19.1; 14 games · 19 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3251 book	—	5/14
−2003 books	—	5/14
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/14
−1054 books	−1293 books	3/14
+1804 books	—	2/14
+9001 book	—	1/14

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+102Best	−136
Bally Bet3 min ago	−105	—
betPARX4 min ago	−105	−127Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−106	−129
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:04 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

+102 → −105 since first seen

Jaylin Williams's full game log and splits