Jaylen Brown

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #7

PHI @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2602 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 0.5 with PHI: 6 of 7; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs guards
DET allow 3.6 steals a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2025–26: 34.5 (78 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 1, cleared, 41 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 0, missed, 28 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 0, missed, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 35 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 38 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 35 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 40 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 34 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 38 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Steals: 0 in 40 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 7 of 10 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 72%; at −260
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 68%; estimate · fair −212

Research, not a pick. At −228 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −212, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2602 books	+1691 book	7/10
+1932 books	−2701 book	2/10
+6102 books	—	1/10
+14002 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−228Best	+169Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−260	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−235 → −260 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Jaylen Brown's full game log and splits