Jaylen Brown

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #7

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under25.5

Over 25.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1104 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 25.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 25.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 25.5 with PHI: 5 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2025–26: 34.5 (78 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

70%7 of 10L10

Over 25.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 27, cleared, 41 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 19, missed, 28 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 42, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 27, cleared, 35 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 29, cleared, 38 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 30, cleared, 35 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 20, missed, 40 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 30, cleared, 34 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 20, missed, 38 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 36, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 25.5 lineMinutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 15.8–42.9 pts+reb.

Count only

Over 25.5 · L10

With or without

Over 25.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Pts+Reb: 20 in 40 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 25.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 25.5

Average: 28; +2.5 vs line
Median: 28; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −147, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3853 books	—	9/10
−1303 books	—	7/10
−1104 books	−1232 books	7/10
+1953 books	—	4/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 25.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 25.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 25.5	Under 25.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−108Best	−122Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	−110	—
betPARX2 min ago	−110	−124
BetRivers3 min ago	−110	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

25.5

Over No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Jaylen Brown's full game log and splits