Jaylen Brown

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #7

PHI @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Rebounds, typical price −1656 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
DET allow 11.4 rebounds a game to guards: 29th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 5.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 5.5 with PHI: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2025–26: 34.5 (78 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 5, missed, 41 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 1, missed, 28 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 9, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 8, cleared, 35 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 8, cleared, 38 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 3, missed, 35 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 4, missed, 40 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 10, cleared, 34 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 4, missed, 38 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–10.2 rebounds.

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Rebounds: 4 in 40 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 5.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 6.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 6.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−200002 books	—	9/10
−7155 books	—	8/10
−3302 books	—	6/10
−1656 books	+1205 books	5/10
+1132 books	−1502 books	5/10
+1856 books	−2751 book	5/10
+3171 book	—	3/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−148Best	+113
FanDuel4 min ago	−154	+116
Bovada3 min ago	−160	+120
Bally Bet4 min ago	−165	—
betPARX6 min ago	−165	+123Best
BetRivers6 min ago	−167	+123Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Over −122 → −165 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Jaylen Brown's full game log and splits