Jaylen Brown
PHI @ DET · LiveGame log against Over 29.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 17.6–48.8 pts+reb+ast.
What's different yesterday
Over 29.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayDefense vs guards
DET allow 68.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: the fewest of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 29.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 29.5 with PHI: 5 of 7; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2025–26: 34.5 (78 games)
Splits
Over 29.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 29.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Pts+Reb+Ast: 24 in 40 min, Oct 25 (home)
Over 29.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 29.5
- Average
- 32.1
- +2.6 vs line
- Median
- 32.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7901 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −3052 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1261 book | −1051 book | 7/10 | |
| −1103 books | −1211 book | 7/10 | |
| +2202 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +5101 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +11601 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 29.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 29.5 | Under 29.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings9 hr ago | −105Best | — |
| Bally Bet9 hr ago | −110 | — |
| Pinnacle9 hr ago | −110 | −121Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
29.528.5 → 29.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.


