Jaylen Brown
PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs guards
DET allow 44.4 points a game to guards: 28th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 19.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with PHI; before that, BOS
Over 19.5 with PHI: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2025–26: 34.5 (78 games)
Game log against Over 19.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 11.9–34.8 points.
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 19.5 · L10Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Points: 16 in 40 min, Oct 25 (home)
Over 19.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 21.7
- +2.2 vs line
- Median
- 20.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −108
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −146
Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4301 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −2863 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1753 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1084 books | −1223 books | 6/10 | |
| +1403 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2103 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2651 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −108Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −108Best | −122 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −109 | −124 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5−114 → −108 since first seen