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Jared McCain

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #3

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price +1165 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 3.5 without him: 8 of 35; with him: 2 of 16 (51 games as teammates)

  • TonightMinutes

    Last 5: 27 min · 2025–26: 17.5 (81 games) · up 54%

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 10; with him: 6 of 41 (51 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)

    Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 6 of 45 (51 games as teammates)

Game log against Over 3.5

36%5 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

  1. at PHX, 2026-04-25: 4, cleared, 12 min
  2. at PHX, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 1 min
  3. vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 2, missed, 15 min
  4. vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 0, missed, 18 min
  5. at LAL, 2026-05-09: 0, missed, 10 min
  6. at LAL, 2026-05-11: 2, missed, 16 min
  7. vs SA, 2026-05-18: 2, missed, 18 min (not counted)
  8. vs SA, 2026-05-20: 6, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
  9. at SA, 2026-05-22: 4, cleared, 27 min
  10. at SA, 2026-05-24: 2, missed, 24 min
  11. vs SA, 2026-05-26: 3, missed, 33 min
  12. at SA, 2026-05-28: 2, missed, 27 min (not counted)
  13. vs SA, 2026-05-30: 1, missed, 23 min
  14. at SA, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 22 min (not counted)
  15. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 18 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 21 min (not counted)
  17. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 30 min
  18. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 4, cleared, 29 min
  19. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared, 28 min
  20. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 27 min
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20
  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG

  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Ajay MitchellG

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Rebounds: 9 in 27 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 3.5

Average
2.7
−0.8 vs line
Median
2.5
−1 vs line
Hit rate
36%
5 of 14
Price implies
46%
at +116
Books’ fair
44%
margin removed
Minutes
20.9
14 games · 17.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−5303 books—10/14
−2051 book—7/14
+1163 books−1664 books5/14
+2291 book—1/14
+4805 books—1/14
+8301 book—1/14
+15602 books—1/14
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Bally Bet3 min ago+128Best—
FanDuel3 min ago+116−158
DraftKings9 min ago+110−145Best
betPARX4 min ago—−175
BetRivers4 min ago—−177
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

2.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Jared McCain's full game log and splits