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Jared McCain

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #3

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM
OverUnder5.5
Over 5.5 Reb+Ast, typical price +1081 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 5.5 without him: 5 of 35; with him: 2 of 16 (51 games as teammates)

  • TonightMinutes

    Last 5: 27 min · 2025–26: 17.5 (81 games) · up 54%

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 5.5 without him: 5 of 10; with him: 2 of 41 (51 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)

    Over 5.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: 2 of 45 (51 games as teammates)

Game log against Over 5.5

29%4 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 5.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

  1. at PHX, 2026-04-25: 5, missed, 12 min
  2. at PHX, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 1 min
  3. vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 4, missed, 15 min
  4. vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 0, missed, 18 min
  5. at LAL, 2026-05-09: 1, missed, 10 min
  6. at LAL, 2026-05-11: 2, missed, 16 min
  7. vs SA, 2026-05-18: 3, missed, 18 min (not counted)
  8. vs SA, 2026-05-20: 9, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
  9. at SA, 2026-05-22: 5, missed, 27 min
  10. at SA, 2026-05-24: 2, missed, 24 min
  11. vs SA, 2026-05-26: 3, missed, 33 min
  12. at SA, 2026-05-28: 8, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
  13. vs SA, 2026-05-30: 1, missed, 23 min
  14. at SA, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 22 min (not counted)
  15. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 18 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 21 min (not counted)
  17. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 7, cleared, 30 min
  18. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 8, cleared, 29 min
  19. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 6, cleared, 28 min
  20. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 27 min
ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 5.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L20

  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG

  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Ajay MitchellG

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Reb+Ast: 11 in 27 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 5.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 5.5

Average
3.9
−1.6 vs line
Median
3.5
−2 vs line
Hit rate
29%
4 of 14
Price implies
48%
at +108
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Minutes
20.9
14 games · 17.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+1081 book−1441 book4/14
Compare 1 sportsbook at 5.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 5.5Under 5.5
FanDuel6 min ago+108Best−144Best

Prices as of 8:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

4.5 → 5.5 since first seen

Jared McCain's full game log and splits