James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers · G · #1

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under11.5

Under 11.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1453 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 11.5 Reb+Ast hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-21: 8, hit, 32 min
vs NY, 2026-05-23: 10, hit, 41 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 6, hit, 33 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 8, hit, 33 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 15, missed, 33 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 14, missed, 39 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 8, hit, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 9, hit, 36 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 13, missed, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 10, hit, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 5–14.8 reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

6 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Peyton Watson playing; Watson is out yesterday. Without him: Under 11.5 in 1 of 1.

YesterdayTeammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Under 11.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 3 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 35.4 (88 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC
Game lines
CLE +3 · total 226 (1 sportsbook)
CLE's games this season closed at 234.6 on average (7 games)

Splits

Under 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 11.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Reb+Ast: 10 in 33 min, Nov 2 (home)

Under 11.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against OKC on record

L10 · Under 11.5

Average: 10.1; −1.4 vs line
Median: 9.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −145
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −145 the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6501 book	—	1/10
−2153 books	+1601 book	5/10
−1352 books	+1022 books	7/10
+1103 books	−1451 book	7/10
+3503 books	—	9/10
+12001 book	—	10/10
+18002 books	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
Bovada15 hr ago	+110	−145Best
Bally Bet15 hr ago	−104	—
DraftKings15 hr ago	+115Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

−125 → −145 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

James Harden's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.