James Harden
CLE @ OKC · Today 8:00 PM
What's different today
Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick6 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Peyton Watson playing; Watson is out today. Without him: Under 6.5 in 1 of 1.
TodayTeammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Under 6.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 3 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
OKC allow 14.7 assists a game to guards: 20th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 35.4 (88 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC
Game log against Under 6.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 6.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.
Splits
Under 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 6.5 · L10Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs OKC
Assists: 6 in 33 min, Nov 2 (home)
Under 6.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against OKC on record
L10 · Under 6.5
- Average
- 5.3
- −1.2 vs line
- Median
- 5.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −158
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −158, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11155 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −3854 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1825 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1066 books | −1255 books | 7/10 | |
| +1805 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +3004 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +4805 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 6.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings5 min ago | −115 | −115Best |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −114 | −116 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −106 | −125 |
| betPARX3 min ago | +102Best | −137 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +102Best | −137 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +102Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:46 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
6.5Under −114 → −125 since first seen