James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers · G · #1

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under6.5

Under 6.5 Assists, typical price −1304 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 6.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at NY, 2026-05-21: 2, hit, 32 min
vs NY, 2026-05-23: 5, hit, 41 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 2, hit, 33 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 5, hit, 33 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 7, missed, 33 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 9, missed, 39 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 6, hit, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 4, hit, 36 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 7, missed, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 6, hit, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

6 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Peyton Watson playing; Watson is out yesterday. Without him: Under 6.5 in 1 of 1.

YesterdayTeammate out
Peyton Watson: Out (hamstring)
Under 6.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 3 of 6 (7 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
OKC allow 14.7 assists a game to guards: 20th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 35.4 (88 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs OKC

Splits

Under 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 6.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Assists: 6 in 33 min, Nov 2 (home)

Under 6.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against OKC on record

L10 · Under 6.5

Average: 5.3; −1.2 vs line
Median: 5.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −157, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−10002 books	—	2/10
−4304 books	—	3/10
−1903 books	+1451 book	5/10
−1104 books	−1303 books	7/10
+1803 books	−2451 book	9/10
+3203 books	—	9/10
+5003 books	—	10/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
Pinnacle12 hr ago	−111	−119Best
Bovada12 hr ago	+100	−130
DraftKings12 hr ago	+107Best	−140
Bally Bet12 hr ago	−110	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

Under: −114 → −130 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

James Harden's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.