James Harden
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
40%4 of 10L10
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs guards
PHI allow 6.2 threes made a game to guards: 26th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2026–27: 33.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at OKC
Game lines
CLE +2.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
CLE's games this season closed at 233.6 on average (8 games)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGDay-To-Day
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHI
3-Pointers Made: 3 in 33 min, Oct 22 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against PHI on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 63%
- at −170
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Research, not a pick. At −158 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14003 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −2306 books | +1751 book | 3/10 | |
| +1237 books | −1706 books | 4/10 | |
| +2856 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +6006 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +15003 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +28003 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle3 min ago | +119 | −158Best |
| betPARX2 min ago | +123 | −167 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +123 | −167 |
| Bovada2 min ago | +130Best | −170 |
| DraftKings3 min ago | +130Best | −173 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +130Best | −174 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +123 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: −180 → −170 since first seen