Jalen JohnsonDay-To-Day
WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 1.5 without him: 6 of 12; with him: 12 of 26 (38 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 4.6 threes made a game to forwards: 14th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.4 min · 2025–26: 35.3 (78 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at WSH
Johnson has missed the last 2 games
Splits
Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against WSH in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 7 of 9 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L10Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Aaron WigginsG
Jock LandaleCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs WSH
Johnson didn't play the Nov 4 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Johnson faced them: 0 (Feb 24)
Under 1.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against WSH on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −155
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −146 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3755 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +1176 books | −1555 books | 6/10 | |
| +3505 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +8505 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +23001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +110 | −146Best |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +112 | −148 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +117 | −155 |
| betPARX3 min ago | +120Best | −162 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +120Best | −162 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +120Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.52.5 → 1.5 since first seen