Jalen Green

Phoenix Suns · G · #4

ORL @ PHX · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2402 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at OKC, 2026-04-19: 1, cleared, 32 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 2, cleared, 41 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 1, cleared, 39 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 4, cleared, 39 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 25 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 26 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 31 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 25 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 36 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 0, missed, 32 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 13 of 26; with him: 9 of 16 (42 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 14 of 31 (42 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
ORL allow 5.6 steals a game to guards: 5th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Dillon BrooksF
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Steals: 2 in 20 min, Mar 31 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against ORL on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −240
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −164

Research, not a pick. At −218 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −164, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2402 books	+1621 book	5/10
+1802 books	—	3/10
+5252 books	—	1/10
+17201 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 hr ago	−218Best	+162Best
Bally Bet6 hr ago	−240	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Jalen Green's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.