Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Milwaukee Bucks · F · #24

MIL @ BOS · Live

Over Under22.5

Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 21, missed, 24 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 35, cleared, 36 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 32, cleared, 26 min
at WSH, 2026-10-21: 31, cleared, 31 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 35, cleared, 35 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 33, cleared, 27 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 14, missed, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 25, cleared, 27 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 20, missed, 23 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 29, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for Wednesday's game: a typical game lands 15.5–34.2 pts+reb+ast.

What's different on Wednesday

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
7 games with MIL; before that, MIA
Over 22.5 with MIL: 5 of 7; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs forwards
BOS allow 77.0 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 7th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26 min · 2025–26: 28.3 (75 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN

Splits

Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS in his last 10; Over 22.5 cleared in 5 of 11 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 22.5 · L10

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Jr. didn't play the Apr 3 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Jr. faced them: 29 (Apr 1)

Over 22.5 hit in 5 of 11 games against BOS on record

L10 · Over 22.5

Average: 27.5; +5 vs line
Median: 30; +7.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7501 book	—	9/10
−2302 books	—	9/10
−1202 books	−1221 book	7/10
+1232 books	—	7/10
+3002 books	—	5/10
+8401 book	—	2/10
+17601 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
DraftKings33 hr ago	−108Best	−122Best
Bally Bet33 hr ago	−120	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

−114 → −120 since first seen

Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.