Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Milwaukee Bucks · F · #24

MIL @ BOS · Live

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Assists, typical price −1602 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 4, cleared, 24 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 8, cleared, 36 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 5, cleared, 26 min
at WSH, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 31 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 35 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 27 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 27 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 5, cleared, 23 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 assists.

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
7 games with MIL; before that, MIA
Over 2.5 with MIL: 3 of 7; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs forwards
BOS allow 9.1 assists a game to forwards: 7th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26 min · 2025–26: 28.3 (75 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 6 of 11 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Jr. didn't play the Apr 3 meeting; assists the last time Jr. faced them: 2 (Apr 1)

Over 2.5 hit in 6 of 11 games against BOS on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.7; +1.2 vs line
Median: 4; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −166

Research, not a pick. At −152 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −166, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4551 book	—	9/10
−1602 books	+1211 book	6/10
+1462 books	—	6/10
+3222 books	—	4/10
+6502 books	—	1/10
+13201 book	—	1/10
+23001 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet12 hr ago	−152Best	—
DraftKings12 hr ago	−160	+121Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−158 → −160 since first seen

Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.