Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Milwaukee Bucks · F · #24

MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −2401 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
BOS allow 6.7 threes made a game to forwards: the most of 30
7 games
New team
7 games with MIL; before that, MIA
Over 0.5 with MIL: 6 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 26 min · 2025–26: 28.3 (75 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN

90%9 of 10L10

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 3, cleared, 24 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 3, cleared, 36 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 1, cleared, 26 min
at WSH, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 31 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 35 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 27 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 27 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 23 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 6 of 11 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Jr. didn't play the Apr 3 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Jr. faced them: 2 (Apr 1)

Over 0.5 hit in 6 of 11 games against BOS on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 2; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −240
Books’ fair: 66%; margin removed
Our chance: 71%; estimate · fair −245

Research, not a pick. At −240 the price beats our fair −245, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2401 book	+1741 book	9/10
+2151 book	—	6/10
+7501 book	—	3/10
+17001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−240Best	+174Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:38 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−245 → −240 since first seen

Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s full game log and splits