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Isaiah Hartenstein

Oklahoma City Thunder · C · #55

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM
OverUnder10.5
Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1121 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 10.5 without him: 20 of 47; with him: 6 of 41 (88 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 10.5 without him: 3 of 9; with him: 23 of 79 (88 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Alex Caruso: Out (ankle)

    Over 10.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 21 of 76 (88 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs centers

    CLE allow 17.4 points a game to centers: 6th most of 30

    7 games

Game log against Over 10.5

36%5 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 5 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

  1. at PHX, 2026-04-25: 9, missed, 23 min
  2. at PHX, 2026-04-27: 18, cleared, 29 min
  3. vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 8, missed, 25 min
  4. vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 10, missed, 27 min
  5. at LAL, 2026-05-09: 12, cleared, 31 min
  6. at LAL, 2026-05-11: 5, missed, 28 min
  7. vs SA, 2026-05-18: 2, missed, 12 min (not counted)
  8. vs SA, 2026-05-20: 10, missed, 27 min (not counted)
  9. at SA, 2026-05-22: 5, missed, 21 min
  10. at SA, 2026-05-24: 12, cleared, 18 min
  11. vs SA, 2026-05-26: 12, cleared, 31 min
  12. at SA, 2026-05-28: 10, missed, 16 min (not counted)
  13. vs SA, 2026-05-30: 7, missed, 21 min
  14. at SA, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  15. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 6, missed, 23 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 12, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
  17. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 15, cleared, 26 min
  18. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 10, missed, 26 min
  19. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 10, missed, 25 min
  20. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 28 min
ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 10.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L20

  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG

  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Ajay MitchellG

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Alex CarusoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Points: 5 in 28 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 10.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 10.5

Average
9.9
−0.6 vs line
Median
10
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
36%
5 of 14
Price implies
53%
at −112
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Minutes
25.6
14 games · 24.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−13501 book—14/14
−1561 book—8/14
−1121 book−1181 book5/14
+2801 book—2/14
+10001 book—0/14
+30001 book—0/14
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 10.5Under 10.5
FanDuel1 min ago−112Best−118Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Over −114 → −112 since first seen

Isaiah Hartenstein's full game log and splits