Isaiah Hartenstein

Oklahoma City Thunder · C · #55

CLE @ OKC · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under10.5

Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1047 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 10.5 without him: 20 of 47; with him: 6 of 41 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 3 of 9; with him: 23 of 79 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 10.5 without him: 1 of 5; with him: 25 of 83 (88 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
CLE allow 17.4 points a game to centers: 6th most of 30
7 games

36%5 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 5 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-25: 9, missed, 23 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 18, cleared, 29 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 8, missed, 25 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 10, missed, 27 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 12, cleared, 31 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 5, missed, 28 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 2, missed, 12 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 10, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 5, missed, 21 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 12, cleared, 18 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 12, cleared, 31 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 10, missed, 16 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 7, missed, 21 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 17 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 6, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 12, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 15, cleared, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 10, missed, 26 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 10, missed, 25 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 10.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Points: 5 in 28 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 10.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 10.5

Average: 9.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 10; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 36%; 5 of 14
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 25.6; 14 games · 24.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3354 books	—	10/14
−2101 book	+1551 book	9/14
−1596 books	+1151 book	8/14
−1047 books	−1306 books	5/14
+1165 books	−1601 book	5/14
+1601 book	−2151 book	2/14
+2004 books	−2901 book	2/14

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	+111Best	−148
Bally Bet6 min ago	−103	—
betPARX6 min ago	−103	−130
BetRivers7 min ago	−104	−132
DraftKings6 min ago	−109	−117Best
Bovada6 min ago	−110	−120
FanDuel5 min ago	−110	−120
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:20 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Over: +102 → −104 since first seen

Isaiah Hartenstein's full game log and splits