Isaiah Hartenstein

Oklahoma City Thunder · C · #55

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1157 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%8 of 14L20 · Without Williams

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 8 of 14 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at PHX, 2026-04-27: 18, cleared, 29 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 8, missed, 25 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 10, cleared, 27 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 12, cleared, 31 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 5, missed, 28 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 2, missed, 12 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 10, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 5, missed, 21 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 12, cleared, 18 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 12, cleared, 31 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 10, cleared, 16 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 7, missed, 21 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 17 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 6, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 12, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 15, cleared, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 10, cleared, 26 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 10, cleared, 25 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 3, missed, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 8.5 without him: 29 of 48; with him: 17 of 40 (88 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs centers
MEM allow 8.5 points a game to centers: 29th most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 40 of 78 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 8.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 43 of 82 (88 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 8.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 8.5 cleared in 8 of 10 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Hartenstein didn't play the Jan 9 meeting; points the last time Hartenstein faced them: 18 (Nov 9, 2025)

Over 8.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 8.5

Average: 9.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 10; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 8 of 14
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 25.9; 14 games · 24.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4354 books	—	10/14
−2401 book	+1751 book	10/14
−1905 books	+1251 book	9/14
−1157 books	−1156 books	8/14
+1066 books	−1601 book	8/14
+1601 book	−2151 book	5/14
+1954 books	—	5/14

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−114Best	−118
BetRivers2 min ago	−114Best	−118
Bovada3 min ago	−115	−115
DraftKings3 min ago	−125	−102
Pinnacle3 min ago	−130	−102
FanDuel2 min ago	−136	+102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over: −130 → −115 since first seen

Isaiah Hartenstein's full game log and splits