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Hugo Gonzalez

Boston Celtics · G · #28

MIL @ BOS · Live
OverUnder8.5
Over 8.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 8.5

33%1 of 3L20 · Without Tatum

Over 8.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 1 of 3 games without Jayson Tatum (his last 20 games).

  1. at MEM, 2026-03-20: 6, missed, 15 min (not counted)
  2. vs MIN, 2026-03-22: 1, missed, 14 min (not counted)
  3. vs OKC, 2026-03-25: 3, missed, 9 min (not counted)
  4. vs ATL, 2026-03-27: 3, missed, 7 min (not counted)
  5. at CHA, 2026-03-29: 3, missed, 13 min (not counted)
  6. at ATL, 2026-03-30: 5, missed, 13 min
  7. at MIL, 2026-04-03: 2, missed, 6 min (not counted)
  8. vs TOR, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 1 min (not counted)
  9. vs NO, 2026-04-10: 11, cleared, 25 min
  10. vs PHI, 2026-04-19: 0, missed, 1 min (not counted)
  11. at PHI, 2026-04-26: 2, missed, 3 min (not counted)
  12. vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 2 min (not counted)
  13. vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 0, missed, 13 min
  14. at DET, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  15. vs NY, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 4 min (not counted)
  16. vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 15, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
  17. vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 6 min (not counted)
  18. vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 15 min (not counted)
  19. at ORL, 2026-11-01: 8, missed, 14 min (not counted)
  20. at HOU, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 16 min (not counted)
ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Jayson Tatum: Out (rest)

    Over 8.5 without him: 11 of 61; with him: 1 of 23 (84 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 15 min · 2025–26: 14.3 (77 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU

  • Pace · possessions a game · 7 games

    MIL 6th, BOS 19th of 30

Splits

Over 8.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L20

  • Jayson TatumFOut

  • Paul GeorgeF

  • Payton PritchardG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Pts+Ast: 2 in 6 min, Apr 3 (away)

Over 8.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIL on record

L20 · Without Tatum · Over 8.5

Average
5.3
−3.2 vs line
Median
5
−3.5 vs line
Hit rate
33%
1 of 3
Price implies
57%
at −130
Books’ fair
53%
margin removed
Minutes
17
3 games · 14.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Tatum
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−6301 book—2/3
−1301 book−1011 book1/3
+1071 book—1/3
+4441 book—0/3
+14801 book—0/3
Compare 1 sportsbook at 8.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 8.5Under 8.5
DraftKings16 hr ago−130Best−101Best

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

−136 → −130 since first seen

Hugo Gonzalez's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.