Herbert Jones
NO @ MEM · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 3.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 3.5 Rebounds hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–6.1 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 3.5
- Average
- 2.6
- −0.9 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −146
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −166
Research, not a pick. At −144 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −166, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5902 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2103 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +1083 books | −1462 books | 8/10 | |
| +2153 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +3903 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +6503 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +15601 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings21 hr ago | +110Best | −144Best |
| betPARX21 hr ago | +108 | −148 |
| Bally Bet21 hr ago | +108 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.