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Herbert Jones

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #2

NO @ MEM · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
OverUnder5.5
Under 5.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1343 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 5.5

90%9 of 10L10

Under 5.5 Reb+Ast hit in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 5, hit
  2. at POR, 2026-04-02: 7, missed
  3. at SAC, 2026-04-03: 2, hit
  4. vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 4, hit
  5. vs IND, 2026-10-21: 2, hit
  6. at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 1, hit
  7. at DEN, 2026-10-24: 4, hit
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 2, hit
  9. vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 5, hit
  10. vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 5, hit
Under hitMissedThe 5.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0.8–8.4 reb+ast.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 5.5

Average
3.7
−1.8 vs line
Median
4
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
90%
9 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −134
Books’ fair
53%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −153

Research, not a pick. At −127 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −153, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1902 books—6/10
−1063 books−1342 books9/10
+6502 books—10/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 5.5Under 5.5
betPARX11 hr ago−106−127Best
DraftKings11 hr ago+107Best−141
Bally Bet11 hr ago−106—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+4%
Herbert Jones's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.