Herbert Jones
NO @ MEM · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −186
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1863 books | +1292 books | 3/10 | |
| +1503 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +3603 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +7503 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +21001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings20 hr ago | −160Best | +121 |
| betPARX20 hr ago | −186 | +138Best |
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | −190 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.