Herbert Jones

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #2

UTAH @ NO · Live

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −2016 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%2 of 4L20 · Without Murphy

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 2 of 4 games without Trey Murphy III (his last 20 games).

vs TOR, 2026-03-11: 4, missed, 36 min (not counted)
at HOU, 2026-03-13: 1, hit, 35 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-03-16: 1, hit, 29 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-03-18: 1, hit, 26 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-03-19: 3, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-03-21: 4, missed, 31 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-03-24: 1, hit, 37 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-03-26: 3, missed, 27 min
at TOR, 2026-03-27: 0, hit, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 2, missed, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-02: 2, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at SAC, 2026-04-03: 1, hit, 13 min (not counted)
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 1, hit, 9 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 17 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 18 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 16 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 19 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 32 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 28 min (not counted)

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

7 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Trey Murphy III playing; Murphy is out today. Without him: Under 1.5 in 4 of 9.

TodayTeammate out
Trey Murphy III: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 4 of 9; with him: 36 of 54 (63 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
UTAH allow 6.4 threes made a game to forwards: 2nd most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 29 of 47 (63 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 24 min · 2025–26: 28.4 (56 games)

Splits

Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L20

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFOut
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

3-Pointers Made: 1 in 18 min, Oct 23 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Murphy · Under 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 2 of 4
Price implies: 67%; at −201
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −171

Research, not a pick. At −200 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −171, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Murphy

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2861 book	—	1/4
+1556 books	−2013 books	2/4
+4502 books	—	3/4
+13201 book	—	4/4
+28001 book	—	4/4

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bovada4 hr ago	+150	−200Best
DraftKings4 hr ago	+151	−201
Pinnacle4 hr ago	+162Best	−221
Bally Bet4 hr ago	+155	—
betPARX4 hr ago	+155	—
BetRivers4 hr ago	+155	—

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

0.5 → 1.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Herbert Jones's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.