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Grayson Allen

Charlotte Hornets · G · #8

CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PM
OverUnder2.5
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1653 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayTeammate out

    Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)

    Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)

    Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)

  • New team

    8 games with CHA; before that, PHX

    Under 2.5 with CHA: 3 of 8; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10

  • Defense vs guards

    BKN allow 9.1 threes made a game to guards: 5th most of 30

    7 games

Game log against Under 2.5

38%3 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 3 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

  1. at MIL, 2026-03-10: 2, hit, 26 min (not counted)
  2. at TOR, 2026-03-13: 1, hit, 29 min (not counted)
  3. at BOS, 2026-03-16: 2, hit, 22 min (not counted)
  4. vs DEN, 2026-03-24: 5, missed, 23 min (not counted)
  5. vs UTAH, 2026-03-28: 4, missed, 21 min (not counted)
  6. at ORL, 2026-03-31: 2, hit, 32 min (not counted)
  7. at CHA, 2026-04-02: 2, hit, 25 min (not counted)
  8. at CHI, 2026-04-05: 1, hit, 16 min (not counted)
  9. vs HOU, 2026-04-07: 0, hit, 26 min (not counted)
  10. at LAL, 2026-04-10: 1, hit, 13 min (not counted)
  11. vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 2, hit, 17 min (not counted)
  12. vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 2, hit, 21 min (not counted)
  13. at BKN, 2026-10-21: 5, missed, 29 min
  14. vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 20 min
  15. vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 34 min
  16. vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 2, hit, 28 min
  17. at DET, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 30 min
  18. at WSH, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 21 min
  19. vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 7, missed, 30 min
  20. vs DET, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 19 min
Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

  • Brandon MillerF

  • Naz ReidC

  • Kon KnueppelGOut

  • Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

3-Pointers Made: 5 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BKN on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 2.5

Average
3.4
+0.9 vs line
Median
3
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
38%
3 of 8
Price implies
62%
at −165
Books’ fair
58%
margin removed
Our chance
57%
estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −156 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −132, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−12002 books—0/8
−2252 books—1/8
+1253 books−1653 books3/8
+2952 books—5/8
+6402 books—6/8
+12602 books—7/8
+22002 books—7/8
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Pinnacle12 min ago+117−156Best
DraftKings12 min ago+125−165
FanDuel1 min ago+128Best−172
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −172 → −165 since first seen

Grayson Allen's full game log and splits