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Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
OverUnder25.5
Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1135 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 25.5

80%8 of 10L10

Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs NY, 2026-04-25: 21, hit
  2. at NY, 2026-04-28: 24, hit
  3. vs NY, 2026-04-30: 3, hit
  4. at ORL, 2026-10-21: 27, missed
  5. at CHA, 2026-10-23: 24, hit
  6. vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 29, missed
  7. at HOU, 2026-10-26: 8, hit
  8. vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 18, hit
  9. vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 15, hit
  10. at NO, 2026-10-31: 15, hit
Under hitMissedThe 25.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 10.3–31 pts+reb+ast.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 25.5

Average
18.4
−7.1 vs line
Median
19.5
−6 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −113
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −111 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1901 book+1451 book6/10
−1501 book+1151 book6/10
−1435 books+1002 books8/10
−1185 books−1134 books8/10
+1151 book−1501 book8/10
+1904 books—10/10
+4754 books—10/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 25.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 25.5Under 25.5
FanDuel23 hr ago−115−111Best
betPARX23 hr ago−118−113
BetRivers23 hr ago−120−114
Bovada23 hr ago−105Best−125
Bally Bet23 hr ago−118—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

25.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.