Dyson Daniels
ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Under 12.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 12.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.4–17.7 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 12.5
- Average
- 9.8
- −2.7 vs line
- Median
- 7.5
- −5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2865 books | +1851 book | 6/10 | |
| −1902 books | +1351 book | 6/10 | |
| −1505 books | +1001 book | 7/10 | |
| −1066 books | −1255 books | 7/10 | |
| +1185 books | −1701 book | 7/10 | |
| +1732 books | −2301 book | 7/10 | |
| +2004 books | — | 7/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle27 hr ago | −116 | −114Best |
| betPARX27 hr ago | −106 | −125 |
| FanDuel27 hr ago | −102 | −125 |
| BetRivers27 hr ago | −107 | −127 |
| Bovada27 hr ago | +100Best | −130 |
| Bally Bet27 hr ago | −106 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.