Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

GameSearch teams, players, games/

Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder11.5
Under 11.5 Points, typical price −1255 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayDefense vs guards

    WSH allow 44.4 points a game to guards: 28th most of 30

    7 games

  • Teammate out

    Jock Landale: Out (hip)

    Under 11.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 12 of 27 (40 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 29.2 min · 2026–27: 29.1 (8 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at IND

    3rd straight road game

Game log against Under 11.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 11.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

  1. at NY, 2026-04-28: 17, missed, 25 min
  2. vs NY, 2026-04-30: 3, hit, 15 min
  3. at ORL, 2026-10-21: 20, missed, 35 min
  4. at CHA, 2026-10-23: 11, hit, 23 min
  5. vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 18, missed, 29 min
  6. at HOU, 2026-10-26: 4, hit, 28 min
  7. vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 7, hit, 28 min
  8. vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 4, hit, 32 min
  9. at NO, 2026-10-31: 8, hit, 27 min
  10. at IND, 2026-11-02: 6, hit, 31 min
Under hitMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.2–17.6 points.

Splits

Under 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 11.5 hit in 4 of 7 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 11.5 · L10

  • Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day

  • Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG

  • CJ McCollumG

  • Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Points: 13 in 33 min, Feb 26 (home)

Under 11.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 11.5

Average
9.8
−1.7 vs line
Median
7.5
−4 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −125
Books’ fair
52%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3753 books—5/10
−2004 books—6/10
−1242 books−1102 books6/10
−1005 books−1253 books7/10
+1802 books—7/10
+2122 books—7/10
+3102 books—7/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 11.5Under 11.5
DraftKings4 min ago−107−119Best
FanDuel3 min ago−106−125
Pinnacle4 min ago−100−132
betPARX1 min ago+102Best—
BetRivers1 min ago+102Best—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits