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Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks · G · #5

ATL @ IND · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
OverUnder12.5
Under 12.5 Points, typical price −1256 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 12.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 12.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs NY, 2026-04-25: 6, hit
  2. at NY, 2026-04-28: 17, missed
  3. vs NY, 2026-04-30: 3, hit
  4. at ORL, 2026-10-21: 20, missed
  5. at CHA, 2026-10-23: 11, hit
  6. vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 18, missed
  7. at HOU, 2026-10-26: 4, hit
  8. vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 7, hit
  9. vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 4, hit
  10. at NO, 2026-10-31: 8, hit
Under hitMissedThe 12.5 line

Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 2.4–17.7 points.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 12.5

Average
9.8
−2.7 vs line
Median
7.5
−5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −125
Books’ fair
52%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −151

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2865 books+1851 book6/10
−1902 books+1351 book6/10
−1505 books+1001 book7/10
−1066 books−1255 books7/10
+1185 books−1701 book7/10
+1732 books−2301 book7/10
+2004 books—7/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 12.5Under 12.5
Pinnacle31 hr ago−116−114Best
betPARX31 hr ago−106−125
FanDuel31 hr ago−102−125
BetRivers31 hr ago−107−127
Bovada31 hr ago+100Best−130
Bally Bet31 hr ago−106—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Dyson Daniels's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.