Dillon Brooks
POR @ PHX · LiveGame log against Over 0.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 32 of 49 (65 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 37 of 60 (65 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
POR allow 3.7 steals a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.8 min · 2025–26: 30.9 (60 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Steals: 0 in 27 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 10 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 68%
- at −210
- Books’ fair
- 65%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −134
Research, not a pick. At −205 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2103 books | +1671 book | 4/10 | |
| +2153 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +6702 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +17001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada2 hr ago | −205Best | — |
| Bally Bet2 hr ago | −210 | — |
| DraftKings2 hr ago | −225 | +167Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −205 → −210 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.


