Dillon Brooks
POR @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMWhat's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 1.5 without him: 13 of 16; with him: 31 of 49 (65 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
POR allow 4.3 threes made a game to forwards: 20th most of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.8 min · 2025–26: 30.9 (60 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at GS
Game log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
3-Pointers Made: 1 in 27 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 10 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.5
- +1 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −160
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −160
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −160, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9002 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1603 books | +1203 books | 7/10 | |
| +1662 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +4212 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +9702 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +19802 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle6 min ago | −159Best | +119 |
| FanDuel6 min ago | −160 | +120 |
| DraftKings6 min ago | −165 | +125Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over −163 → −160 since first seen


