Dillon Brooks
POR @ PHX · Tomorrow 9:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 19.5 without him: 12 of 16; with him: 31 of 49 (65 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.8 min · 2025–26: 30.9 (60 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at GS
Game lines
PHX +2.5 · total 227.5 (6 sportsbooks)
PHX's games this season closed at 226.9 on average (5 games)
Game log against Over 19.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 11.7–34.4 pts+reb.
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 19.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Pts+Reb: 14 in 27 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 19.5 hit in 2 of 10 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 24.6
- +5.1 vs line
- Median
- 24.5
- +5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −126
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −137
Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −17801 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −3761 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1262 books | −1052 books | 7/10 | |
| +2131 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +5421 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +12601 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +24001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | −125Best | −106 |
| DraftKings13 min ago | −127 | −104Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5Over −128 → −126 since first seen


